Retirees Association

SBNation: Could Wright State have avoided disaster with shot clock violations?

Horizon League finals

Excerpt from SBNation

A few nights ago one of the wildest comebacks I’ve ever seen in college sports occurred in the Horizon League conference tournament when 8th-seeded Milwaukee rallied back and defeated 2nd-seeded Wright State in overtime in the semifinals after falling behind by 24 points with 6:26 left in the game.

None of what you just read is a typo.

That’s right (wright?). In six minutes and twenty-six seconds one of the best teams in the Horizon League, who was widely dubbed to win the Horizon League tournament, blew the largest lead of the entire 2021 college basketball season to 9-11 (8-10) Milwaukee.

I’m sure there have been great writeups about the game, but you have to see it to believe it:

I can’t stop watching that nor can I figure out how it happened. And one of the even crazier things about Milwaukee is that they were already the title holders for “best comeback of the entire season” when they came back 13 points to beat Cleveland State with 1:59 left. They never give up. Which is what makes what the Panthers did over the closing six minutes so incredible. But when you overcome an enormous deficit like that, as many Louisville fans are all too familiar with, it doesn’t happen without a little help from the other team.

Which is why this tweet caught my eye:

  • Thank you for the inspiration, Cameron Newton, who is our good friend over at midmajormadness.com.

Now, I am not a mathematician, nor did I ever pay that much attention in my probability and statistics course in college, but I wanted to try in my own terrible ways to see if it was possible:

Could Wright State have won had they taken a shot clock on every possession for the rest of the game?